Will this market have 27 or more unique predictors?

Question

Will 27 or more people put in a prediction on this market?

Bots don't count towards the total. If I predict, I do count.

I may close this market early if the answer is YES but I won't extend the close date if the answer is NO.

This is the latest version of this market - each time the target increases by one so it should be a bit less of a certain thing.

@MpP has set up a meta-market about these market iterations here:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/MpP/will-the-unique-predictor-markets-r)Here's how the previous markets went:

Six or more? Target hit in 7 minutes

Seven or more? Target hit in 1 hour 37 minutes

Eight or more? Target hit in 2 hours 12 minutes

Nine or more? Target hit in 12 hours and 8 minutes

Ten or more? Target hit in 29 minutes

11 or more? Target hit in 1 hour 32 minutes

12 or more? Target hit in 4 hours 14 minutes

13 or more? Target hit in 15 hours 35 minutes

14 or more? Target hit in 12 hours 33 minutes

15 or more? Target hit in 28 hours 47 minutes. This time five non-bot users had positions on NO at the end - the first time that so many people thought that the target might not be hit!

16 or more? Target hit in 6 hours 41 minutes - significantly faster than the previous three iterations!

17 or more? Target hit in 13 hours 59 minutes

18 or more? Target hit in 23 hours 28 minutes

19 or more? Target hit in 14 hours 59 minutes

20 or more? Target hit in 21 hours 51 minutes

21 or more? Target hit in 19 hours 14 minutes - now with six people holding NO positions at close!

22 or more? Target hit in 13 hours 23 minutes

23 or more? Target hit in 5 hours 4 minutes - the quickest since 12!

24 or more? Target hit in 17 hours 30 minutes

25 or more? Target hit in 22 hours 18 minutes - the slowest since 18

26 or more? Target hit in 38 hours 36 minutes - the first time I didn't think it was going to happen and I bet on NO!

What will 27 bring?

[markets]

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Apr 25, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.