Kevin McCarthy "motion to vacate" vote - will at least ten Republicans vote against McCarthy?

Question

Matt Gaetz has filed a "motion to vacate" against the House speaker Kevin McCarthy:

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/oct/02/matt-gaetz-remove-kevin-mccarthy-speaker-government-shutdown

The vote is due to take place "within two legislative days".

Will at least ten Republicans vote against McCarthy? This does not include any Republicans abstaining, voting "present" or otherwise expressing their oppositionn to McCarthy without actually voting against him.

Related markets:

@/SimonGrayson/mccarthy-vote-will-any-democrats-vo

Resolution notes:

Any yes/no vote where House members go on the record will qualify if the purpose is to vote on whether to declare the speaker position vacant or to dismiss the attempts to remove McCarthy

If the motion to vacate is somehow decided without a yes/no vote where House members go on the record with their votes (eg. McCarthy resigns, the motion is withdrawn, there is a procedure to strike the motion down without an explicit vote, etc) this market will resolve to N/A

If there are multiple votes, this market only applies to the first formally counted vote

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Oct 3, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.