Will the SCOTUS make a controversial, decisive decision in the 2028 presidential election?

Question

Decisive: if the decision was not made, there's a good chance that the other party would've won.

Controversial: decided by me, in conversation with traders, based on a high level of controversy in the mainstream legal community.

Bush v Gore would be classified as 'Yes, in favor of Republicans', even though some recounts still had Bush winning.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bush_v._Gore

I will not bet in this market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, No, followed by Yes, in favor of Republicans and Yes, in favor of Democrats are most likely. See the market for live updates (13 traders, as of Jan 6, 2026).