Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Far-right Freedom Party will be largest in Austrian Parliament

Question

https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions

This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity, the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.

Matt predicts 70% for this question

Matt's calibration for reference:

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Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Feb 1, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.