Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the most successful independent US presidential candidate in the last 100 years?

Question

Resolves YES if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. runs as an independent (or third party) and gets more of the popular vote than Ross Perot in 1992 (18.91%).

Based on Chamath's prediction in the latest All In podcast.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Nov 6, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.