In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Question

I will resolve this based on some combination of how much it gets talked about in elections, how much money goes to interest groups on both topics, and how much of the "political conversation" seems to be about either.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 90% chance (2,695 traders, as of Jul 21, 2026).