[Ṁ200 subsidy] Will Typhoon Koinu make landfall in Taiwan?

Question

Background

Typhoon Koinu ('Puppy' in Japanese) is a strong Category 3 equivalent tropical cyclone currently in the Philippines Sea, cradle to many western Pacific typhoons. It is forecast to pose significant threat to the Northwest Pacific basin, in particular Taiwan and the southern coasts of China.

[image][image]Before Typhoon Haikui, Taiwan had not seen typhoon landfall for several years. Will Koinu make landfall in any part of Taiwan, following the landfall of Haikui in early September merely one month ago?

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if Typhoon Koinu is deemed to have landed in any part of Taiwan by the Central Weather Administration (formerly Central Weather Bureau) of Taiwan, excluding all other outlying islands other than the Taiwan Main Island / Formosa. Examples that would support a YES resolution include a track area product with location of the center and a path history, or a satellite image with annotations from the CWB that denote the landfall of the typhoon in the specified area.

Resolves NO if no such information can be found from the CWA before the dissipation of Typhoon Koinu.

Will resolve based on CWA data, with supplemented data from JTWC if necessary.

I will not bet on this market, but I will put Ṁ200 in as subsidy.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Oct 5, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.