[Ṁ200 subsidy] Will the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season see at least 5 major hurricanes?

Question

Major hurricanes are defined by NOAA as tropical storms with a Saffir-Simpson category of 3-5 and sustained winds of 111 mph or greater.

This question will resolve to YES if there are 5 or more major hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean in the Northern Hemisphere by the end of 2023. And it will resolve to NO if there are 4 or fewer.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Dec 5, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.