 must post at least twice. One post must be a links roundup (e.g. 

); the other post(s) must be at least 500 words. The market will resolve early if a given month passes without those conditions being satisfied.

I will only vote YES; I will do this whenever and however much I want. I'm going to put more money on YES than is strictly rational, as motivation. It's a pretty ambitious goal - see if you can earn some money from my overconfidence.

Reasons to vote NO: it's an ambitious goal that I don't have a track record of meeting - I've had vague 'blog regularly' goals in the past and never really hit them. And outside view, most bloggers don't. Also, my substack is also not a primary work or life priority, so I might rationally de-prioritize it.