Will I exercise (in the next week) and then continue (for at least 3/7 days in 7/8 of the following weeks)?

Question

This market resolves Yes if the following criteria are met. If the below criteria are not met, it resolves No.

Criteria:

I begin engaging in at least 150 minutes of moderate aerobic exercise or 75 minutes of vigorous aerobic exercise per week, or a combination of both, spread across at least 3 days, starting no later than 04MAR2024.

I record each workout session, including the type of exercise, duration, and intensity.

General Information:

I define a week as Mon-Sun

I use Pacific Time.

I expect my exercise routine will be recorded by commenting as such (or editing an existing comment) daily.

Notes:

I reserve the right to record it in an easier (but still contemporaneous and publicly accessible) format. Changing the recording format does not alter the record for any prior days.

I reserve the right to modify the specific resolution criteria above, provided that any changes adhere to the spirit of the market (e.g., am I consistently engaging in exercise to maintain or improve my physical health?). Any modifications to the criteria will not affect records for any prior days.

Should I alter the resolution criteria or bet in this market (which I plan to do), anyone who has wagered more than 3% of their net worth (at the time of resolution) or Ṁ1000 has the right to request a moderator re-resolution, assuming the request is made in good faith.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on May 5, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.