Putin has a history of having political opponents meet less than fortunate outcomes, usually involving falling from buildings.

For this market to resolve yes, reports of the current wagner chief Yevgeniy Prigozhin death needs to be confirmed by media (preferably several sources, and international rather than RU state news). This is not conditional on foul play, as natural causes, self inflected, act of war and anything in between is valid for this resolution. Being missing and unaccounted for is not sufficient for a yes.

For this market to resolve no, there must indication or news about their death. At 31 dec 2024 @2359, the market will close. I'll give it one day from there to assess the news and then payout the winners.