Will I lose 8.2 lbs or more (164.7→156.5lbs) after 30 days of a low-dose potassium trial?

Question

I'll be trying SLIME MOLD TIME MOLD's "Low-Dose Potassium Community Trial" throughout November.

I am a 25 year-old man who weighs approximately 164 lbs at steady state.

The completion criteria here are:

My weight measured on Day 1 of the trial will be compared with my weight as measured on Day 30 of the trial. If it has reduced 5% or more, the answer is "YES". Otherwise, it is "NO".

My weight on Day 1 was measured as 164.7 lbs.

Therefore, if my weight as measured on Day 30 is 156.5 lbs or fewer, this resolves as YES.

I will follow the trial procedure outlined in the post, starting with 330 and increasing to about 1300 mg of Nu-Salt daily.

If I fail to complete the 30 days or change the trial procedure substantially, I will choose N/A.

I'm not going to intentionally change other parts of my behavior to influence the weight.

Other market(s):

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Quate/will-i-lose-48-lbs-or-more-16471599)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Nov 23, 2022 by Manifold Markets prediction market.