Will any reactor of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant be operational in 2028?

Question

Resolves yes if, on at least one day in 2028, at least one of the reactors of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant is listed as "Operational" at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_commercial_nuclear_reactors

If wikipedia no longer provides that list, a source of similar credibility (something like the IAEA) will be used if it is easily available.

Please note that this question might well resolve at the beginning of 2028.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 88% chance (11 traders, as of Dec 21, 2025).