Will any member state decide to leave the European Union by the end of 2023?

Question

For this question to be resolved as "Yes", it is only necessary that a member of the EU officially notifies the European Council of its intention to leave the EU, following Article 50(2) from the Lisbon Treaty, regardless of how long the actual process of leaving may take.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Nov 7, 2022 by Manifold Markets prediction market.