Will I contact my ex, and how will it go?

Question

Context: We dated for a few months several years ago. I ended the relationship, and they made several attempts to reconnect in the period afterward, but we have not spoken in a long time. I’m considering sending an apology and asking whether they would be open to catching up.

This market resolves to the option that, in my judgement, most closely describes the overall outcome within 21 days of my first contact attempt. If I don't reach out to my ex by the end of August 6 (a week from market creation), resolves to No contact attempt.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Positive continued contact, followed by Neutral or brief exchange and Negative outcome are most likely. See the market for live updates (203 traders, as of Aug 21, 2026).