Is Donald Trump the Antichrist?

Question

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the results of a poll conducted on this platform. The market will close on Janurary 20th, and the final percentage of "Yes" votes vs. "No" votes will determine the outcome. If the percentage of "Yes" votes is greater than 50%, the market will resolve to "Yes." If the percentage of "No" votes is greater than or equal to 50%, the market will resolve to "No."

Background

The question of whether a contemporary political figure, such as Donald Trump, fits the biblical description of the "antichrist" is a subject of speculation among some religious groups and commentators. Historically, the term has been applied to various leaders throughout time. There is no objective or empirical metric to resolve this question; therefore, this market is designed to gauge community sentiment through a poll rather than a factual determination.

The poll below will be used as a reference to use resolve this market

(https://manifold.markets/embed/OnlyBoot/is-donald-trump-the-antichrist-qPtCNLAZgU)Update 2026-04-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has added the poll referenced in the resolution criteria. The poll link is now available in the market description.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 51% chance (11 traders, as of Apr 15, 2026).