Will Tesla trade above $500 in 2026?

Question

Resolves YES if Tesla Trades at 500.00 or above in 2026.  1 Jan to Dec 31 2026.  Trading above 500 in 2025 does not resolve this market. Resolves to Google finance and official nasdaq charts.

This is intraday. After hours and before hours excluded. If a stock split occurs, the title will be updated with the equivalent price.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 22% chance (23 traders, as of Sep 1, 2026).