Will Rishi Sunak face a Conservative Vote of No Confidence before the next general election?

Question

This market resolves YES if 15% of Conservative MPs submit letters of no confidence to the 1922 committee before polling day for the next UK General Election following 2019 and a Vote of No Confidence is triggered.

This market will not resolve YES if a parliamentary vote of no confidence is submitted by an opposition party.

Resolves NO on polling day of the next GE if not resolved before.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jul 5, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.