On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?

Question

Each answer resolves YES at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer, if Keir Starmer is Prime Minister AND has been so continuously since his appointment following the 2024 election.

If he loses his job for any reason (including death/firing/resignation/losing an election) then all remaining answers will resolve NO.

Add more dates if you want more granularity.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 2026-06-30 / June 30, 2026, followed by 2026-07-31 / 31st July 2026 and 2029-12-31 / 31st December 2029 are most likely. See the market for live updates (214 traders, as of Jun 30, 2026).