Will Humanity deploy any new technology in an unsafe way by 2030 according to LeCun?

Question

Context:

[image]Resolves Yes if any counterexample to Yann's argument is presented and he agrees. Or Yann disavows the above tweet. Or Yann posts an obviously contrary tweet in the future.

A compliment to

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Joshua/will-humanity-deploy-any-new-techno)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 47% chance (3 traders, as of Sep 8, 2025).