 's all-time profit graph on Manifold Markets is greater than 1 million at any time on or before December 31, 2023. Otherwise resolves NO.

In the unlikely event it's so close it's uncertain whether it occurred or not (e.g., different APIs give different numbers, some of which are YES and some are NO; or floating point rounding error across all bets), then it resolves 50%.

There are mechanisms to manipulate profit graphs (e.g., buying YES shares at 1% on a fake market up through 99% and closing a market). Rather than itemize every possible scenario, any specific market can be disputed. In case of a dispute, a poll will be created asking "Is X market intended to manipulate Mira's profit graph?". If the poll rules it is manipulative, Mira's profit on market X will be removed from the profit graph. Only public markets are valid.

If the profit graph temporarily shows 1 million due to a bug, that doesn't count. "Bug" means that the displayed portfolio value as of that time is inconsistent with a manually-computed portfolio rollup using my entire transaction history and market resolution history.

Borrowed money from others doesn't directly influence the profit graph, so is not considered here. Only profits from markets do, and those are covered by the poll mechanism.

Profits(realized or unrealized) are considered valid except for exactly these 3 cases: