Iran says they will open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours

Nothing happens - strait stays closed, no power plant attacks

Widespread damage to Iran's critical infrastructure by the end of March.

Widespread damage to Gulf critical infrastructure by the end of March.

Widespread damage to Israel's critical infrastructure by the end of March.

Busehr power plant suffers critical damage

S&P500 and Dow Jones both close down on Monday from Fridays Close

VIX (Volatility Index) closes at or above $30.00 on Monday? (Friday Closed 26.78)

A US-flagged oil tanker successfully travels through the Strait of Hormuz

Iran closes and restricts usage of the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. either makes a deal or decides to pull back.

The 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit establishes beachhead positions along the Iranian coastline.

US hits an Iranian power plant on March 30