A lot of major whales, like Jack and Catnee, have been conspicuously absent from the Whales vs. Minnows market. If they were on Isaac's team, there would be every reason to hold them in reserve instead of having them buy shares immediately. If Isaac looks to be alone, YES shares will stay lower.

If either user (including alt accounts) holds >200,000 YES shares at any point, I will resolve this YES. If that precise condition never happens but the fact becomes widely acknowledged, I will resolve YES. 

Even though there's some flexibility in the resolution criteria, be warned that I WILL be trading in this market myself. 