Will Nectome have at least ten preserved humans by the end of 2027?

Question

Nectome is a human brain preservation company based in Oregon. They recently announced that they are beginning pre-sales and will soon be accepting patients.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/E9xfgJHvs6M55kABD/less-dead

This market resolves YES iff they credibly claim to have preserved ten human brains as part of their commercial offerings by Dec 30, 2027.

See also:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/MaxHarms/will-nectome-preserve-at-least-one)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 23% chance (4 traders, as of Nov 2, 2026).