Will another plane crash in US airspace in February?

Question

Two planes have crashed in the last week. Will there be another plane crash in US airspace in February?

Related market for anywhere:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Marnix/will-another-plane-crash-in-februar?play=true)Update 2025-02-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): General Aviation Coverage:

All types of general aviation are included, not just commercial flights.

Definition of Plane Crash:

A crash is defined as a situation where a plane collides with something (ground, plane, building, etc.) that it shouldn't.

The plane is unable to successfully make an emergency landing.

Clarifications on Accidents:

It is not based solely on fatalities or injuries. For example, an incident like Singapore Airlines Flight 321 would not count, whereas the 2021 Houston MD-87 crash would, even if there were no fatalities.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Feb 2, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.