Will New Hampshire’s primary on Jan 23, 2024 be used to assign its state delegates at the Democratic National Convention

Question

Question resolves based on whether the results (vote totals) of New Hampshire’s state primary on Jan 23 are used to determine the allocation of NH delegates at the Democratic National Convention on Aug 22.

If a different method is used to allocate delegates for NH, or NH receives no delegates at the convention, this resolves NO.

The percentage of delegates NH receives does not have any bearing on the outcome of this question unless it is zero. That is - a NH delegation with half its votes stripped, but nevertheless allocated using the vote totals on Jan 23 will resolve YES, not 50%.

The act of registering or not registering to put one’s name on the ballot for the primary is not considered part of the results of the primary.

If a mail-in primary is scheduled with ballots begun to be sent out on or before Jan 23 (as with the Iowa caucuses), it will only be considered part of the results of the primary if vote totals are posted on Jan 23.

Ask clarifying questions in the comments, and I’ll update the description accordingly. Since this may be subject to interpretation, I won’t trade in this market. Please read the description carefully before trading, even if you’re familiar with PredictIt’s resolution criteria for this market.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Aug 7, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.