Manufacturing Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis (the meetup)

'manifold':3 'manufactur':1 'manyfold':2 'maritim':6 'meetup':9 'metropoli':7

Kevin Roose's 2024 prediction questions: https://manifold.markets/dashboard/hard-fork-predictions

'/dashboard/hard-fork-predictions':9 '2024':4 'kevin':1 'manifold.markets':8 'manifold.markets/dashboard/hard-fork-predictions':7 'predict':5 'question':6 'roos':2

headlines that would destroy your net worth

'destroy':4 'headlin':1 'net':6 'worth':7 'would':3

nichecommunity issue / people leaving Manifold

'issu':2 'leav':4 'manifold':5 'nichecommun':1 'peopl':3

Found a one-time choir as intro or outro and sing (and fail) Deck the Hall without any serious preperation

'choir':6 'deck':15 'fail':14 'found':1 'hall':17 'intro':8 'one':4 'one-tim':3 'outro':10 'preper':21 'serious':20 'sing':12 'time':5 'without':18

Manifold AI Art Contest https://manifold.markets/Ernie/manifold-ai-art-contest-manifolds-b

'/ernie/manifold-ai-art-contest-manifolds-b':7 'ai':2 'art':3 'contest':4 'manifold':1 'manifold.markets':6 'manifold.markets/ernie/manifold-ai-art-contest-manifolds-b':5

How to take into account creator psychology when betting (maybe: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-i-be-convinced-the-spirit-of-m?r=Um9iZXJ0Q291c2luZWF1 as prompt)

'/larsdoucet/will-i-be-convinced-the-spirit-of-m?r=um9izxj0q291c2luzwf1':13 'account':5 'bet':9 'creator':6 'manifold.markets':12 'manifold.markets/larsdoucet/will-i-be-convinced-the-spirit-of-m?r=um9izxj0q291c2luzwf1':11 'mayb':10 'prompt':15 'psycholog':7 'take':3

'bet':3 'larg':2 'make':1 'marcusabramovitch':5

Episode 4 of Manifold: Live! will air on Tuesday 2023-12-26 at 2pm PT with 

! We usually do shows on Sunday afternoons (in PT), but apparently a lot of people are busy for a couple of days around then 🤷 so we're doing an irregular Tuesday episode.

This market will work slightly differently to our previous suggestion markets - we will resolve answers YES if they lead to a good discussion, NO if they don't, and N/A if we don't get around to it. Hopefully, this will make the best topics rise to the top!

We'll also award Ṁ100 to anyone who suggests an answer that resolves YES

 (as well as arbitrary prizes for good audience-ing)! We're looking to focus a bit less on discussion and a bit more on fun for this episode, so suggest any games you want to watch us play or bet on live.

The co-hosts will allocate a budget of Ṁ100 to make token bets on options here.

Follow this account for updates on the show!