Will Venezuela have free elections in 2024?

Question

America is expected to announce a deal where they lift sanctions and in exchange, they allow free elections.

If the opposition is elected, this market resolves to YES.

If the international consensus of observers, including the Organization of American States, as described by the mainstream media (The Economist, NYT...) say they consider the election was fair and nonetheless socialism won, this market resolves to YES.

Otherwise this market resolves to NO.

I won't bet. This market will require judgment.

https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/us-venezuela-announce-oil-sanctions-deal-tuesday-report-2023-10-16/

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Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jul 31, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.