Will a world flipping event happen to a year end market by 2023 year end? (Market 1) - Tail risk hedge

Question

After some worries that @/Joshua/will-nothing-ever-happen-by-hallowe , the end of year world flipping markets! Last year the pope death trigggered a response on @/MP/will-there-be-any-surprise-world-ev-558fc73e0c15

Some conditions

The market deadline must be December 31st 2023 or January 1st 2024

At least 50 bettors before the world flipping event

The market must be trading consistently at 90% or above or 10% or below in the days that precede the event and then, suddenly, in a matter of hours, be resolved in the opposite direction

Metamarkets don't count

Personal markets don't count

Destiny markets don't count

Short term markets don't count

Multi-choice markets will only count if they are at 90%+

I won't bet. This market may require judgment. Second market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/MP/will-a-2nd-world-flipping-event-hap)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 1, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.