Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end?

Question

I will consider a soloprenour as defined by the financial media (FT, The Economist, Forbes, WSJ, Nikkei, Reuters, Bloomberg...) and billionaire as also defined by the same mainstream financial media.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 23% chance (43 traders, as of Jun 29, 2026).