Will a GPT-5-worthy model be able to break 50% on NYT Connections benchmark?

Question

[tweet]AI Models are really bad in playing NYT connections.

[image]If GPT-5, or a model worthy of the name, can break 50%, according to Lech Mazur, or some else trusted source by me or Gary Marcus, this market resolves to YES.

If a model is considered GPT-6 worthy, or is GPT-6 itself, it won't count.

Obviously, this is nuanced, and therefore I won't bet.

This market resolves to NO on Dec 31st 2026.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Oct 26, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.