Oregon is the only U.S. state without some form of impeachment powers in its state constitution. In 2023, both the State Senate and State House unanimously voted to refer House Joint Resolution 16 to voters. HJR16 will allow legislators to impeach the State Executive Branch.

The market will resolve to one answer based on

Margin will be determined by the percentage of voters that were for or against the measure. 

(Pass or Fail Voters / Total Votes) = Margin

The market will resolve based on certified results from the Oregon Secretary of State. Market closes on 5 Nov 2024; market resolution may be delayed until data is released. Oregon Law requires that any ballot measure receive an affirmative majority so in case of a 50/50 tie, the measure will have failed. [0]

I do not bet on markets I create in order to avoid motivated reasoning. Any changes to the market description will be noted in the change log.