Will anyone be killed by falling space debris before the end of 2032?

Question

Posting because I think the title of this reddit post is probably incorrect and want a market about it

Note: to an extent I am relying on the market participants providing such a story. I will intentionally wait 1 month to resolve in case such a report comes late.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 6% chance (22 traders, as of Apr 9, 2026).