Will I fly to New Mexico to buy chilis at Costco and cook @billga's Green Chile Stew before Souper Tuesday 2032?

Question

This is a souper vibed-based market. It isn't necessary to take the non-rules too seriously.

Non-Rules:

There are no rules ;)

I'm allowed to enter NM with any transportation I wish. It doesn't require me to fly directly to NM. For example, landing in LV and taking a car would be fine.

I have to enter NM for this reason at my own discretion 😉 .

I don't have a Costco membership, so asking people to get me those chilis would be perfectly fine.

This is the recipe which I'm free to interpret:

[image]That's the reason:

[image]

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 74% chance (10 traders, as of Mar 18, 2026).