Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?

Question

Prediction #4 in my "Great Logging Off" market

Meta-market:
https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/how-many-of-my-predictions-in-marke-089c96830000?groupId=KgzUh68PEIltJSzCnmF2

Blog post:
https://www.fortressofdoors.com/ai-markets-for-lemons-and-the-great-logging-off

This resolves YES, if, by the end of 2027, in my sole opinion:

There is EITHER a measurable and significant increase in offline socialization and traditional social face-to-face institutions (e.g., churches, bowling leagues, heck even going to bars and dance halls counts), OR, a significant increase in the intensity and number of hours of attendance of offline social institutions by those currently attending, even if overal attendance doesn't rise.

Dec 27, 12:14pm: Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by 2027? → Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 40% chance (64 traders, as of Jan 2, 2026).