Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Question

Prediction #3 in my "Great Logging Off" market

Meta-market:
https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/how-many-of-my-predictions-in-marke-089c96830000?groupId=KgzUh68PEIltJSzCnmF2

Blog post:
https://www.fortressofdoors.com/ai-markets-for-lemons-and-the-great-logging-off

This resolves YES, if, by the end of 2027, in my sole opinion:

There is a SIGNIFICANT movement of people from "open" social networks to private and semi-private spaces. E.g., less facebook and twitter and instagram, more discord (semi-private and/or siloed) and group chats (private). Offline socialization will be handled by a separate market.

Dec 27, 12:14pm: Will we see an increased premium put on private online socialization by 2027? → Will we see an increased premium put on private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 64% chance (26 traders, as of Jun 15, 2024).