How many of my predictions in "Markets for Lemons and the Great Logging Off" will come to pass by the end of 2027?

Question

I posted an article here:
https://www.fortressofdoors.com/ai-markets-for-lemons-and-the-great-logging-off

I make 7 concrete predictions related to a phenomenon I call "The Great Logging Off" that might occur in response to the internet getting saturated with accounts making it hard to distinguish real from fake people.

A decline in big "open sea" social networks like twitter and a move to fragmented silos

An increased premium put on "verified human" accounts + increased platform surveillance

An increased premium put on private socialization

Resurgence and even fetishization of explicitly "offline" culture

A segment of online people getting sucked into the online world even harder as AI-powered super addictions get rolled out

Human civilization adapts as more "offline" cultures outcompete "terminally online" cultures

Real estate prices continue to rise

We'll check in 5 years from now, and I'll evaluate, in my sole opinion, how many of these predictions are holding up.

EDIT:
You can find sub-markets for all these here now:
https://manifold.markets/group/the-great-logging-off

Dec 27, 2:14pm: How many of my predictions in "Markets for Lemons and the Great Logging Off" will come to pass by 2027? → How many of my predictions in "Markets for Lemons and the Great Logging Off" will come to pass by the end of 2027?

Manifold Markets · Answer

The current median estimate is 0.645693751668589 according to Manifold Markets prediction market (as of May 9, 2024).