What's the future outcome for Mixpanel, the company?

Question

Mixpanel is a Series C startup in the San Francisco Bay Area offering analytics solutions for tech businesses. More info here: https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/mixpanel

This market attempts to capture what the most likely future outcome for Mixpanel is, between:

Going public, via IPO, SPAC, Direct listing, or similar.

Acquisition or merger into another company. The company must be an actual operating business, and not a SPAC-style placeholder company. E.g. an acquisition by Google would count, but a merger into "Random Acquisition Corp III" just for the purposes of getting a public listing would be counted as "going public" instead.

Going out of business in some way or another.

If there's another possibility I haven't thought of, please suggest it in the comments and I'll add another option if it sounds valid.

This market resolves as soon as one of these options happens. If none of the options happen by 2060, this market resolves to… "None of the other options happen by 2060".

To bet on when this might happen, use this market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Kronopath/when-will-mixpanel-have-a-liquidity)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Acquired by, or merged into, a (non-SPAC) public company, followed by Going public (e.g. IPO, SPAC, Direct listing) and Other are most likely. See the market for live updates (5 traders, as of Aug 12, 2026).