Will the folding iPhone include “fold” in the name?

Question

This market will resolve yes if Apple releases a folding phone in 2026 or 2027, and the product’s name includes the word “fold”.

Notes:

For a device to qualify, it must have a continuous display surface with an articulating ability, such that the screen surface itself bends when the folding feature is used.

The market will resolve no if Apple does not release a folding phone before EOY 2027.

Other conjugations of the verb are also allowed.

The general public must be able to purchase, and have the device in hand before EOY 2027 for it to count.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 7% chance (8 traders, as of Mar 8, 2026).