Will Jaime Maussan's 'nonhuman beings' (2023) still be considered an 'elaborate hoax' by Wikipedia in 2030?

Question

See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jaime_Maussan#Alien_claims
Snapshot of current article: https://archive.is/7dZxY [2023-12-20]

Will resolve YES if there are no substantial changes to the 'Alien claims' section relating to the paragraph starting with "On 12 September 2023," of Jaime Maussan's Wikiepdia page and the 'nonhuman beings' (2023) presented by Jamie Maussan is still described as an 'elaborate hoax" on the Wikipedia page in 2030, just as it is in the snapshot linked above.

Will resolve NO if the 'Alien claims' section relating to the paragraph starting with "On 12 September 2023," of Jaime Maussan's Wikiepdia is changed/updated (or another paragraph after that calls back) to indicate that there is a scientific consensus that the 'nonhuman beings' claims are in fact not a hoax. This needs to remain for a few days at least to be sure it isn't just Wikipedia vandalism.

Will resolve N/A in 2030 if there is nothing added or changed that could resonably be considered to have a chance of triggering a NO resolution as described above, AND the string 'elaborate hoax' is no longer in the Wikipedia article at all, even if it is generally described similarly to that in the article.

If the Wikipedia page is reorganized and similar information is under a different heading, or whatever similar situation I will use my best judgement to update the description accordingly if applicable (if 'Alien claims' heading is renamed to something else, for example). Any future changes to the resolution criteria will be annotated and explained below this paragraph if needed.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 94% chance (18 traders, as of Jan 10, 2025).