Will a "No One Is Above the Law Amendment" be ratified by end of 2027?

Question

Resolves YES if an Amendment to the Constitution is recognized by the Archivist of the United States, which removes all criminal immunity for former Presidents before the end of 2027.

It would count if it just applies to Presidential actions taken after ratification of the Amendment or just to actions taken by Presidents elected after the ratification of the Amendment.

Joe Biden released an OpEd today in WaPo in favor of such an amendment.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 5% chance (27 traders, as of Jun 26, 2026).