Will the winner of the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary go on to secure the party’s nomination? (2024)

Question

Inspired by a New York Times opinion article by New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, which ends in a prediction:

[image]Resolves YES if the winner of the Republican NH primary becomes the Republican nominee for president, and NO if they do not.

Resolution date will be moved up as necessary once it becomes clear which primaries will deliver the required number of delegates to secure the nomination. Also resolves early if the winner of the NH primary drops out of the race.

Resolution will wait for the convention only if a contested convention seems likely.

I will not trade in this market.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Mar 19, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.