[M2K Sub] Will a "dark horse" be the next Speaker of the House?[Not McHenry/ Emmer /McCarthy/ Jeffries/ Jordan/ Scalise]

Question

This market resolves YES if anyone other than the 6 people in the screenshot below is the next speaker of the house. It resolves NO if one of those six people is the next speaker.

This is a derivative market of @/SimonGrayson/who-will-be-the-next-speaker-of-the-0b49bf53ad12 . At the time of market creation, the top options are:

[image]Collectively these six people(not counting other) have 59% of the probability right now.

I think it would be useful to bet if one of them will be the next Speaker, or if it will be one of the options in the other 41% of the probability space.

Resolution will use the same rules as the main market, with the resolution date being extended as necessary.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Oct 25, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.