One of the current three favorites: Stefanik, Noem, or Scott

'current':4 'favorit':6 'noem':8 'one':1 'scott':10 'stefanik':7 'three':5

One of the rumored short list members: Vance, Huckabee-Sanders, Scott, or Stefanik

'huckabe':10 'huckabee-sand':9 'list':6 'member':7 'one':1 'rumor':4 'sander':11 'scott':12 'short':5 'stefanik':14 'vanc':8

One of the NY dark horses: Zeldin, Giuliani, or Santos

'dark':5 'giuliani':8 'hors':6 'ny':4 'one':1 'santo':10 'zeldin':7

One of his would-be rivals: Scott, Desantis, Haley, or Vivek

'desanti':9 'haley':10 'one':1 'rival':7 'scott':8 'vivek':12 'would':5 'would-b':4

One of the outsiders: Vivek, General Flynn, or Tucker Carlson

'carlson':10 'flynn':7 'general':6 'one':1 'outsid':4 'tucker':9 'vivek':5

'huckabe':4 'huckabee-sand':3 'noem':1 'sander':5

'carlson':5 'kari':1 'lake':2 'tucker':4 'vivek':3

Royal Line of Succession: Donald Trump Jr, Ivanka Trump, Eric Trump, Jared Kushner

'donald':5 'eric':10 'ivanka':8 'jare':12 'jr':7 'kushner':13 'line':2 'royal':1 'success':4 'trump':6,9,11

ULTRA OUTSIDERS: Burgum, Carson, Donalds, Britt, Jordan, Rubio, Abbott, Pompeo, Cotton, Crenshaw, Taylor Greene, Hawley, Paul, Dixon, Sasse, McMaster, Santorum, Christie, Gingrich, Suarez, Johnson, Kemp, Burgess, Gianforte, or Youngkin 

'abbott':9 'britt':6 'burgess':26 'burgum':3 'carson':4 'christi':21 'cotton':11 'crenshaw':12 'dixon':17 'donald':5 'gianfort':27 'gingrich':22 'green':14 'hawley':15 'johnson':24 'jordan':7 'kemp':25 'mcmaster':19 'outsid':2 'paul':16 'pompeo':10 'rubio':8 'santorum':20 'sass':18 'suarez':23 'taylor':13 'ultra':1 'youngkin':29

GOP GOVERNORS: Abbott, Bryant, Burgum, Cox, DeSantis, DeWine, Ducey, Dunleavy, Gianforte, Gordon, Hogan, Holcomb, Ivey, Justice, Kemp, Lee, Landry, Little, McMaster, Noem, Parson, Reeves, Reynolds, Sanders, Scott, Stitt, Sununu, YOUNGKIN

'abbott':3 'bryant':4 'burgum':5 'cox':6 'desanti':7 'dewin':8 'ducey':9 'dunleavi':10 'gianfort':11 'gop':1 'gordon':12 'governor':2 'hogan':13 'holcomb':14 'ivey':15 'justic':16 'kemp':17 'landri':19 'lee':18 'littl':20 'mcmaster':21 'noem':22 'parson':23 'reev':24 'reynold':25 'sander':26 'scott':27 'stitt':28 'sununu':29 'youngkin':30

PARTY CROSSOVERS: Dean Phillips, Tulsi Gabbard, or R.F. Kennedy Jr

'crossov':2 'dean':3 'gabbard':6 'jr':10 'kennedi':9 'parti':1 'phillip':4 'r.f':8 'tulsi':5

The true believers: Kari Lake, Tucker Carlson, Marjorie Taylor Greene

'believ':3 'carlson':7 'green':10 'kari':4 'lake':5 'marjori':8 'taylor':9 'true':2 'tucker':6

One of the GOP Governors: Abbott, Burgum, Cox, DeSantis, DeWine, Dunleavy, Gianforte, Gordon, Holcomb, Justice, Kemp, Landry, Lee, Little, Lombardo, McMaster, Noem, Parson, Pillen, Reeves, Reynolds, Sanders, Scott, Stitt, Sununu, Youngkin.

'abbott':6 'burgum':7 'cox':8 'desanti':9 'dewin':10 'dunleavi':11 'gianfort':12 'gop':4 'gordon':13 'governor':5 'holcomb':14 'justic':15 'kemp':16 'landri':17 'lee':18 'littl':19 'lombardo':20 'mcmaster':21 'noem':22 'one':1 'parson':23 'pillen':24 'reev':25 'reynold':26 'sander':27 'scott':28 'stitt':29 'sununu':30 'youngkin':31

One of the Wealthy: Romney, Burgum, Issa, Carson, Braun, Donalds, Jordan, Abbott, Pompeo, Snyder, Cotton, Scott, Crenshaw, Upton, Hawley, Hern, McMaster, Kennedy, Santorum, Gingrich, Rauner, Suarez, Johnson, Burgess, Youngkin, Loeffler.

'abbott':12 'braun':9 'burgess':28 'burgum':6 'carson':8 'cotton':15 'crenshaw':17 'donald':10 'gingrich':24 'hawley':19 'hern':20 'issa':7 'johnson':27 'jordan':11 'kennedi':22 'loeffler':30 'mcmaster':21 'one':1 'pompeo':13 'rauner':25 'romney':5 'santorum':23 'scott':16 'snyder':14 'suarez':26 'upton':18 'wealthi':4 'youngkin':29

MAGA in Congress: Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Jim Jordan, or Matt Gaetz

'congress':3 'cruz':5 'gaetz':12 'jim':8 'jordan':9 'maga':1 'marco':6 'matt':11 'rubio':7 'ted':4

Freedom Caucus Leaders: Boebert, Biggs, Good, Meadows, Perry

'bigg':5 'boebert':4 'caucus':2 'freedom':1 'good':6 'leader':3 'meadow':7 'perri':8

Freedom Caucus YoungGuns: Luna, Donalds, Davidson, Green, Roy

'caucus':2 'davidson':6 'donald':5 'freedom':1 'green':7 'luna':4 'roy':8 'younggun':3

Anyone from the Gidursky shortlist (Vance, Rubio, Britt)

'anyon':1 'britt':8 'gidurski':4 'rubio':7 'shortlist':5 'vanc':6

Each option in this market describes a list of potential Trump running mates. Each is described by what they have in common, but note that the option only resolves yes if one of those specific people becomes VP, not anyone unlisted.

Options in this market resolve yes or no independently. An option resolves yes if someone in that list is announced as Trump's vice presidential running mate, and No otherwise.

If Trump does not ever announce a running mate, all options resolve N/A.

please try to limit the number of candidates in them to 2-4

, the fewer the better. Please name only specific people. I may N/A options if I think they are not worth the space they are taking up in the market.

Hopefully, this market will help us identify the reasons people think some candidates are more likely than others.

If you want to submit a large bundle of many candidates, there's another market for that here: