Trump wins 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

'2024':3 '2028':15 'abandon':8 'ambigu':13 'polici':10 'state':7 'strateg':12 'trump':1 'unit':6 'win':2

Trump wins 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

'2024':3 '2028':17 'abandon':10 'ambigu':15 'polici':12 'state':7 'strateg':14 'trump':1 'unit':6 'win':2

Trump loses 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

'2024':3 '2028':15 'abandon':8 'ambigu':13 'lose':2 'polici':10 'state':7 'strateg':12 'trump':1 'unit':6

Trump loses 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

'2024':3 '2028':17 'abandon':10 'ambigu':15 'lose':2 'polici':12 'state':7 'strateg':14 'trump':1 'unit':6

Live-updating visualization of the conditional probabilities and correlation coefficient:

The answer will be chosen according to the resolution of these two markets: