There is a contestant besides the 6 that were announced

A contestant reveals their body count is 10 or more

'10':8 'bodi':5 'contest':2 'count':6 'reveal':3

A contestant reveals their body count is 2 or less

'2':8 'bodi':5 'contest':2 'count':6 'less':10 'reveal':3

A contestant places a  large bet  on themselves during the show to assert dominance

'assert':13 'bet':6 'contest':2 'domin':14 'larg':5 'place':3 'show':11

A contestant bets against themselves during the show, shortly before being eliminated

'bet':3 'contest':2 'elimin':12 'short':9 'show':8

Aella wears "the dress" https://x.com/Aella_Girl/status/1753910675380801780

'/aella_girl/status/1753910675380801780':7 'aella':1 'dress':4 'wear':2 'x.com':6 'x.com/aella_girl/status/1753910675380801780':5

A contestant claims their net worth is more than $500k

'500k':10 'claim':3 'contest':2 'net':5 'worth':6

A contestant makes a profit betting on themselves

If there's a seventh contestant, it's a woman

A contestant refuses to answer a spicy question

'answer':5 'contest':2 'question':8 'refus':3 'spici':7

A contestant tries to manipulate a (Bets on Love) market

'bet':7 'contest':2 'love':9 'manipul':5 'market':10 'tri':3

A contestant drinks alcohol during the show

'alcohol':4 'contest':2 'drink':3 'show':7

A contestant sings something or otherwise produces music during the show

'contest':2 'music':8 'otherwis':6 'produc':7 'show':11 'sing':3 'someth':4

'14':7 'admit':2 'daniel':1 'doesn':4 'kid':8

Aella wears "the other dress" https://x.com/Aella_Girl/status/1753192305333264517

'/aella_girl/status/1753192305333264517':8 'aella':1 'dress':5 'wear':2 'x.com':7 'x.com/aella_girl/status/1753192305333264517':6

A contestant brags about their net worth (in mana)

'brag':3 'contest':2 'mana':9 'net':6 'worth':7

A contestant brags about their net worth (in dollars)

'brag':3 'contest':2 'dollar':9 'net':6 'worth':7

Aella ends up marrying a Bet on Love candidate

'aella':1 'bet':6 'candid':9 'end':2 'love':8 'marri':4

Someone pushes, punches, slaps or does an equivalent motion to someone else on stage without consent.

'consent':16 'els':12 'equival':8 'motion':9 'punch':3 'push':2 'slap':4 'someon':1,11 'stage':14 'without':15

An audience member interrupts the show uninvitedly for at least a minute

'audienc':2 'interrupt':4 'least':10 'member':3 'minut':12 'show':6 'uninvit':7

Manifold receives a complaint from the venue owners related to their Bet on Love show.

'bet':12 'complaint':4 'love':14 'manifold':1 'owner':8 'receiv':2 'relat':9 'show':15 'venu':7

Manifold makes a mistake in resolution of its Bet on Love markets

'bet':9 'love':11 'make':2 'manifold':1 'market':12 'mistak':4 'resolut':6

2 people attending the Bet on Love show negotiate a 5k mana or more limit order deal in-person

'2':1 '5k':11 'attend':3 'bet':5 'deal':17 'in-person':18 'limit':15 'love':7 'mana':12 'negoti':9 'order':16 'peopl':2 'person':20 'show':8

A person who held a YES option on an antisocial behavior subsequently performs it, then earns a profit on that option

'antisoci':10 'behavior':11 'earn':16 'held':4 'option':7,21 'perform':13 'person':2 'profit':18 'subsequ':12 'yes':6

The topic of "foom" or "p(doom)" is discussed

'discuss':9 'doom':7 'foom':4 'p':6 'topic':2

The Super Bowl, the 49ers, the Chiefs, a coach, or a player on those teams is mentioned

'49ers':5 'bowl':3 'chief':7 'coach':9 'mention':17 'player':12 'super':2 'team':15

'10':4 'event':2 'late':8 'minut':5 'start':3

A contestant rates themselves on a numerical scale of attractiveness

'attract':10 'contest':2 'numer':7 'rate':3 'scale':8

A contestant or Aella rates someone other than themself on a numerical scale of attractiveness

'aella':4 'attract':15 'contest':2 'numer':12 'rate':5 'scale':13 'someon':6 'themself':9

Someone is unexpectedly eliminated as they are the highest option in the "who will win" market

'elimin':4 'highest':9 'market':16 'option':10 'someon':1 'unexpect':3 'win':15

Audio or video production mistakes interrupt the audience's ability to enjoy the live feed for greater than or equal to 15 seconds

'15':22 'abil':10 'audienc':8 'audio':1 'enjoy':12 'equal':20 'feed':15 'greater':17 'interrupt':6 'live':14 'mistak':5 'product':4 'second':23 'video':3

If there's a seventh contestant, they're famous/known

'contest':6 'famous/known':9 're':8 'seventh':5

Somebody on stage talks about his or her opinion of Donald Trump

'donald':11 'opinion':9 'somebodi':1 'stage':3 'talk':4 'trump':12

'bashu':1 'crowd':6 'laugh':7 'make':4 'tim':3

Someone in the show or the audience is wearing a fursuit

'audienc':7 'fursuit':11 'show':4 'someon':1 'wear':9

someone in the show jumps in the air while on stage

'air':8 'jump':5 'show':4 'someon':1 'stage':11

@Joshua judges that, according to the official MPAA classification guidelines, the show would receive an NC-17 rating if it were released as a film

'-17':17 'accord':4 'classif':9 'film':25 'guidelin':10 'joshua':1 'judg':2 'mpaa':8 'nc':16 'offici':7 'rate':18 'receiv':14 'releas':22 'show':12 'would':13

Someone comments on what % better of a partner they'd need to trade up

'better':5 'comment':2 'd':10 'need':11 'partner':8 'someon':1 'trade':13

Someone in the show mentions Aella's birthday gangbang

'aella':6 'birthday':8 'gangbang':9 'mention':5 'show':4 'someon':1

One of the contestants tries to promote a cryptocurrency

'contest':4 'cryptocurr':9 'one':1 'promot':7 'tri':5

A contestant bets more than 500 mana during the show

'500':6 'bet':3 'contest':2 'mana':7 'show':10

'candid':6 'daniel':1 'tallest':5 'visibl':3

A contestant never bets during the entire show

'bet':4 'contest':2 'entir':7 'never':3 'show':8

Eliezer Yudkowsky attends in-person or makes a public statement that he watched the show

'attend':3 'eliez':1 'in-person':4 'make':8 'person':6 'public':10 'show':16 'statement':11 'watch':14 'yudkowski':2

Robin Hanson attends in person or makes a public statement that he watched the show

'attend':3 'hanson':2 'make':7 'person':5 'public':9 'robin':1 'show':15 'statement':10 'watch':13

Someone in the show mentions Taylor Swift

'mention':5 'show':4 'someon':1 'swift':7 'taylor':6

A contestant claims their net worth is below zero

'claim':3 'contest':2 'net':5 'worth':6 'zero':9

Concurrent live stream viewers exceeds 1,000 at any time

'000':7 '1':6 'concurr':1 'exceed':5 'live':2 'stream':3 'time':10 'viewer':4

Someone makes a comparison between Aella and Taylor Swift

'aella':6 'comparison':4 'make':2 'someon':1 'swift':9 'taylor':8

A contestant reveals their body count is between 3 and 9 inclusive

'3':9 '9':11 'bodi':5 'contest':2 'count':6 'inclus':12 'reveal':3

Someone will mention "The Billboard" (From "The Agency")

'agenc':8 'billboard':5 'mention':3 'someon':1

'aella':1 'date':8 'plan':5 'second':7 'winner':4

@Aella intentionally manipulates questions on this market during the show

'aella':1 'intent':2 'manipul':3 'market':7 'question':4 'show':10

There's a surprise contestant (after Caleb)

Projectionist running Linux. Year of the linux desktop

'desktop':8 'linux':3,7 'projectionist':1 'run':2 'year':4

The event's gross revenue from ticket sales, sponsorships, streaming ad revenue, and miscellaneous sources exceeds $75,000

'000':18 '75':17 'ad':11 'event':2 'exceed':16 'gross':4 'miscellan':14 'revenu':5,12 'sale':8 'sourc':15 'sponsorship':9 'stream':10 'ticket':7

The event turns a NET profit (excluding anything the IRS defines as an "intangible asset," such as brand goodwill)

'anyth':8 'asset':15 'brand':18 'defin':11 'event':2 'exclud':7 'goodwil':19 'intang':14 'ir':10 'net':5 'profit':6 'turn':3

@Aella mentions this specific answer (the one you are reading now)

'aella':1 'answer':5 'mention':2 'one':7 'read':10 'specif':4

Something physically present says that Bet on Love happens on February 14th, 2025

'14th':12 '2025':13 'bet':6 'februari':11 'happen':9 'love':8 'physic':2 'present':3 'say':4 'someth':1

Someone on stage at any point is wearing a mask (to prevent COVID-19 infection)

'-19':14 'covid':13 'infect':15 'mask':10 'point':6 'prevent':12 'someon':1 'stage':3 'wear':8

A person with more than 10k Lesswrong karma is physically present in Bet on Love (audience is fine)

'10k':6 'audienc':16 'bet':13 'fine':18 'karma':8 'lesswrong':7 'love':15 'person':2 'physic':10 'present':11

Manifold fixes the no sound problem on their Youtube livestream

'fix':2 'livestream':10 'manifold':1 'problem':6 'sound':5 'youtub':9

'audienc':4 'onstag':6 'run':5 'someon':1

No technical issues with the stream after the show starts

'issu':3 'show':9 'start':10 'stream':6 'technic':2

Someone who is mic’d or on stage says “statistically significant other” (reading this doesn’t count)

'count':17 'd':5 'doesn':15 'mic':4 'read':13 'say':9 'signific':11 'someon':1 'stage':8 'statist':10

Aella votes off more than 1 candidate at the same time

'1':6 'aella':1 'candid':7 'time':11 'vote':2

@Aella goes on a monologue and resolves at least 10 of the questions YES in one sentence

'10':10 'aella':1 'goe':2 'least':9 'monologu':5 'one':16 'question':13 'resolv':7 'sentenc':17 'yes':14

They sing a song about Beeminder (a sponsor)

'beemind':6 'sing':2 'song':4 'sponsor':8

The screen behind the stage will switch to this market 

'behind':3 'market':10 'screen':2 'stage':5 'switch':7

Manifold fixes the extreme lag on the bet on love market

'bet':8 'extrem':4 'fix':2 'lag':5 'love':10 'manifold':1 'market':11

Philip survives the double elimination round 

'doubl':4 'elimin':5 'philip':1 'round':6 'surviv':2

One of the contestants hits on/flirts with Aella's sister

'aella':8 'contest':4 'hit':5 'on/flirts':6 'one':1 'sister':10

Caleb survives the double elimination round 

'caleb':1 'doubl':4 'elimin':5 'round':6 'surviv':2

'500':4 'hit':3 'main':1 'market':2 'trader':5

Someone gets the red on the moisture meter

'get':2 'meter':8 'moistur':7 'red':4 'someon':1

Submit whatever you think might happen during the Bet on Love show here, and if it happens it will resolve yes. 

Please make sure that your submissions are understandable with just the text in the submission, so people don't have to read the comments to know how something will resolve. I reserve the right to reword answers myself to make them more clear. I may N/A submissions for any reason. 

Other mods who watch the show are also welcome to resolve questions in this market.