OpenAI annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?

Question

Will OpenAI achieve the following annualized revenue or annualized recurring revenue (ARR) rates at any point on or before December 31, 2026? Based on company statements or credible reporting from outlets like CNBC, Bloomberg, The Information, etc.

Individual answers will resolve as they are achieved, not at end of 2026.

No grace period: report must occur by December 31

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, >=$75B, followed by >=$100B and >=$150B are most likely. See the market for live updates (30 traders, as of Oct 1, 2026).