In 2028, will AI be a top 3 political issue for voters?

Question

This is similar to https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-ai-be-at-least-as-big, but I wanted to control for the possibility that abortion might not be a big political issue.

Update 2026-03-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be based on the balance of evidence rather than a specific source.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 68% chance (79 traders, as of Oct 30, 2026).