Will Donald Trump lose a single state in the 2024 Republican primaries?

Question

Will there be at least one state where Donald Trump doesn't get first place in the Republican presidential primary or caucus in that state?

Note: Any reason for Trump failing to win the state counts. This would include, for example, Trump dropping out before that state's primary or Trump being excluded from the ballot in that state.

See also: @/JosephNoonan/will-joe-biden-lose-a-single-state

Note: Just to clarify, I am judging a win/loss in Nevada based on the Nevada caucus, since that is how delegates actually get awarded. In any case where there is both a primary and a caucus, the winner will be judged based on total delegates obtained from both. In the case of Nevada, zero delegates are gained by the primary, so the winner is determined solely by the caucus.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Mar 6, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.