Will bitcoin hit $1 million before it hits $100?

Question

resolution source: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin

Resolves YES when bitcoin hits $1 million after market creation.
Resolves NO when bitcoin hits $100 after market creation.

There is no adjustment for inflation.

If USD is replaced by a successor currency, this market will use the successor currency and the last available exchange rate from USD to the successor currency.

If bitcoin is replaced by a successor currency, this market will use the successor currency and the last available exchange rate from BTC to the successor currency.

If USD ceases to exist without a successor, resolves YES
If bitcoin ceases to exist without a successor, resolves NO
If AI kills us all and both cease to exist at the same time, it resolves N/A.
If this market expires without any of the resolution criteria being met, it resolves N/A.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 79% chance (73 traders, as of Jul 17, 2026).